{"id":2375,"date":"2024-11-08T11:46:24","date_gmt":"2024-11-08T10:46:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\/"},"modified":"2024-11-08T11:46:24","modified_gmt":"2024-11-08T10:46:24","slug":"drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\/","title":{"rendered":"DRS insights: Watching the dominos fall"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><em>Similarities between the effects of the Ukraine War and the global financial crisis<\/em><a href=\"media\/uploaded\/plaatje_dominos.jpg.html\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the 1970s, the Yum Kippur War and subsequent oil crisis caused energy prices to skyrocket throughout the world. With them, inflation and interest rates went up, ultimately resulting in a housing crisis and recession. In the 2000s, a similar pattern of events occurred: the Iraq War drove op energy prices, and the resulting inflation was one of the main drivers of the global financial crisis. Today, as the Russo-Ukrainian War is causing rampant inflation, the same domino tiles seem to be falling once again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Both the 1973 oil crisis and the 2007\/2008 global financial crisis were foreseen as scenarios, by Shell and Rabobank respectively. As a result, these organizations were able to thrive when others faltered. In\u00a0this DRS Insights working paper, Paul de Ruijter and Friso van Nimwegen discuss the similarities and key differences between today&#8217;s and yesterday&#8217;s crises, and conclude that history does not need to repeat itself; alternative outcomes are still possible<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Read the paper here: <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div data-wp-interactive=\"core\/file\" class=\"wp-block-file\"><object data-wp-bind--hidden=\"!state.hasPdfPreview\" hidden class=\"wp-block-file__embed\" data=\"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Working_paper_Watching_the_dominos_fall.pdf\" type=\"application\/pdf\" style=\"width:100%;height:600px\" aria-label=\"Embed of Working_paper_Watching_the_dominos_fall.\"><\/object><a id=\"wp-block-file--media-1d7261f8-061b-402e-b871-6a80d64f22be\" href=\"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Working_paper_Watching_the_dominos_fall.pdf\">Working_paper_Watching_the_dominos_fall<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Working_paper_Watching_the_dominos_fall.pdf\" class=\"wp-block-file__button wp-element-button\" download aria-describedby=\"wp-block-file--media-1d7261f8-061b-402e-b871-6a80d64f22be\">Downloaden<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Similarities between the effects of the Ukraine War and the global financial crisis In the 1970s, the Yum Kippur War and subsequent oil crisis caused energy prices to skyrocket throughout the world. With them, inflation and interest rates went up, ultimately resulting in a housing crisis and recession. In the 2000s, a similar pattern of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":2373,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"sector":[],"class_list":["post-2375","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>DRS insights: Watching the dominos fall - De Ruijter Strategy<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"DRS insights: Watching the dominos fall - De Ruijter Strategy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Similarities between the effects of the Ukraine War and the global financial crisis In the 1970s, the Yum Kippur War and subsequent oil crisis caused energy prices to skyrocket throughout the world. With them, inflation and interest rates went up, ultimately resulting in a housing crisis and recession. In the 2000s, a similar pattern of [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"De Ruijter Strategy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-11-08T10:46:24+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Femke Pennink\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Femke Pennink\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Femke Pennink\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/ca6f1c5b53df201ceda07825dc669e81\"},\"headline\":\"DRS insights: Watching the dominos fall\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-11-08T10:46:24+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":184,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/11\\\/plaatje-dominos.jpg\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\\\/\",\"name\":\"DRS insights: Watching the dominos fall - De Ruijter Strategy\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/11\\\/plaatje-dominos.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-11-08T10:46:24+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/11\\\/plaatje-dominos.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/11\\\/plaatje-dominos.jpg\",\"width\":1920,\"height\":1280},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"DRS insights: Watching the dominos fall\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/\",\"name\":\"De Ruijter Strategie\",\"description\":\"\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"De Ruijter Strategie\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/08\\\/DeRuijter_logo_UK-2.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/08\\\/DeRuijter_logo_UK-2.png\",\"width\":290,\"height\":52,\"caption\":\"De Ruijter Strategie\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.linkedin.com\\\/company\\\/de-ruijter-strategy\\\/\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/ca6f1c5b53df201ceda07825dc669e81\",\"name\":\"Femke Pennink\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/68077e7234e7dcf847856e6788ccbb671a5f56b0c784ebd6f33da1223ee4d4b6?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/68077e7234e7dcf847856e6788ccbb671a5f56b0c784ebd6f33da1223ee4d4b6?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/68077e7234e7dcf847856e6788ccbb671a5f56b0c784ebd6f33da1223ee4d4b6?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"Femke Pennink\"},\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/deruijter.net\\\/en\\\/author\\\/femke\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"DRS insights: Watching the dominos fall - De Ruijter Strategy","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"DRS insights: Watching the dominos fall - De Ruijter Strategy","og_description":"Similarities between the effects of the Ukraine War and the global financial crisis In the 1970s, the Yum Kippur War and subsequent oil crisis caused energy prices to skyrocket throughout the world. With them, inflation and interest rates went up, ultimately resulting in a housing crisis and recession. In the 2000s, a similar pattern of [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\/","og_site_name":"De Ruijter Strategy","article_published_time":"2024-11-08T10:46:24+00:00","author":"Femke Pennink","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Femke Pennink","Est. reading time":"1 minute"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\/"},"author":{"name":"Femke Pennink","@id":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/ca6f1c5b53df201ceda07825dc669e81"},"headline":"DRS insights: Watching the dominos fall","datePublished":"2024-11-08T10:46:24+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\/"},"wordCount":184,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/plaatje-dominos.jpg","inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\/","url":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\/","name":"DRS insights: Watching the dominos fall - De Ruijter Strategy","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/plaatje-dominos.jpg","datePublished":"2024-11-08T10:46:24+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/plaatje-dominos.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/plaatje-dominos.jpg","width":1920,"height":1280},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/drs-insights-watching-the-dominos-fall\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"DRS insights: Watching the dominos fall"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/#website","url":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/","name":"De Ruijter Strategie","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/#organization","name":"De Ruijter Strategie","url":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/DeRuijter_logo_UK-2.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/DeRuijter_logo_UK-2.png","width":290,"height":52,"caption":"De Ruijter Strategie"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/de-ruijter-strategy\/"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/ca6f1c5b53df201ceda07825dc669e81","name":"Femke Pennink","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/68077e7234e7dcf847856e6788ccbb671a5f56b0c784ebd6f33da1223ee4d4b6?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/68077e7234e7dcf847856e6788ccbb671a5f56b0c784ebd6f33da1223ee4d4b6?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/68077e7234e7dcf847856e6788ccbb671a5f56b0c784ebd6f33da1223ee4d4b6?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Femke Pennink"},"url":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/author\/femke\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2375","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2375"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2375\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2373"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2375"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"sector","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/deruijter.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/sector?post=2375"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}