Artificial Intelligence and Big Data in Scenario planning

Preparing for what is to come is the major goal of scenario planning and early warning systems. What if computers would be able to read all the news in the world? Can AI and scenario planning join hands?

In the past, early warning systems relied mostly on human intelligence. But with the exponential growth of information sources, you are almost certain to miss that weak, yet vital signal. What if computers would be able to read everything everywhere and spot that essential piece of information? With NewsConsole, now they can!

NewsConsole, developed by scenario planning expert Daniel Erasmus from the Digital Thinking Network, is not looking for key words. Instead, it understands what you are interested in based on your documents. Because of this, it will find related articles even with different words. This is possible, because the artificial intelligence on which it is based actually understands what has been written.

Disruption at the Edge

For a large multinational client interested in electric cars in the USA, the platform found that the real market breakthroughs in electric mobility were happening in electric scooters in China and India. It has also found new proven treatments for cancer patients in journals and in places overlooked by the best doctors who use the best-known search engines. The platform is built to enable serendipitous epiphanies rather than simple search. Therefore, it finds the farmer’s wallet in a haystack, when you were looking for a needle.

This has revolutionary consequences for you as a strategist, futurist, scenario planner or member of the intelligence community. Human intelligence has only a limited capability to make associative connections and to absorb information. NewsConsole processes a million articles per day, remembers them and builds associative links that humans just cannot make. What a chess computer is for a Grandmaster is NewsConsole for a strategist. Using the platform in real world applications in business or government: it almost feels like cheating.

Risk Reporting

De Ruijter Strategy was tasked by a large pension fund to build an off-radar risk monitoring system to discover high impact risks as part of the heat maps reporting to the Central Bank. We used the platform to investigate the potential investment consequences of a carbon bubble. This potential bubble has significant investment implications as governments might further restrict CO2 emissions and thereby change the economics of the energy sector- creating potentially well over U$ 1 Trillion in stranded assets. Not only oil companies, coal mines, but also government bonds will be affected. In minutes, we could see how Australian governmental bonds, with their heavy reliance on a coal exports, could be on the front line as the economy reduces its carbon output. An unusual, deep insight created through the interactive use of the toolset.

With over 20 years of experience in scenario based strategy and early warning systems, De Ruijter Strategy is glad to partner with NewsConsole. We are here to help you with the training and integration of NewsConsole in your strategy projects or processes. De Ruijter Strategy offers a monitoring service to provide leadership with the confidence that they will not be surprised by off radar events. We monitor, report and facilitate insights from a tailormade early warning system matched to trends, scenarios and key events.

“Bad scenario’s don’t exist, only bad preperation.”

Paul de Ruijter

“By using language and visuals, we can create the future today.”

Jolanda van Heijningen

“The future cannot be forecasted, but it can be foreseen.”

Renate Kenter

“History shows us how unpredictable the future can be.”

Friso van Nimwegen

“The complexity of the future requires multidimensional thinking, anticipating and acting.”

Sharda Tewari

“Being well prepared is better than hoping that things will work out.”

Reinier Hattink

“Conducting research about the future is the greatest thing there is.”

Femke Pennink

“Without having a clear strategic goal, you are the puppet of circumstances.”

Kwint Kramer

“To be able to think about the future, you need to have the figures in order.”

Jannie Pruimers-Lanenga

“Discovering connections between data and trends remains fascinating.”

Iris Lijkendijk

“”One cannot drive with just the rearview mirror; look ahead and overtake! That’s the essence of scenario planning.””

Aryzo Arrindell